Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.245191 0.288203 0.339362 0.405510 0.489986 0.595962 0.741777
2024-12-22 0.175381 0.224795 0.291139 0.389759 0.538317 0.764236 1.157395
2024-12-29 0.143065 0.195334 0.272201 0.399920 0.621536 1.024807 1.921671
2025-01-05 0.117989 0.168257 0.247073 0.389227 0.664661 1.247484 2.879117
2025-01-12 0.103298 0.152900 0.235145 0.394915 0.738681 1.586710 4.671674
2025-01-19 0.090806 0.138305 0.220570 0.390201 0.788718 1.916524 7.260184
2025-01-26 0.082839 0.129683 0.214323 0.399584 0.876539 2.448733 12.873182
2025-02-02 0.077029 0.123724 0.211556 0.415314 0.990982 3.231728 26.185736
2025-02-09 0.071649 0.117639 0.207201 0.425972 1.099423 4.191523 58.266532
2025-02-16 0.067298 0.112791 0.204351 0.439473 1.228592 5.564533 168.885192
2025-02-23 0.063098 0.107631 0.199845 0.447346 1.346498 7.250624 685.956268
2025-03-02 0.059147 0.102443 0.194354 0.450948 1.453748 9.318422 6632.696073
2025-03-09 0.055179 0.096853 0.187279 0.448788 1.542128 11.781762 NaN
2025-03-16 0.051186 0.090794 0.178248 0.438459 1.588951 14.212146 NaN
2025-03-23 0.048966 0.088199 0.177060 0.452903 1.782012 20.824843 NaN
2025-03-30 0.045681 0.082979 0.168665 0.441074 1.820841 25.260385 NaN
2025-04-06 0.043602 0.080164 0.165885 0.448046 1.988097 36.623581 NaN
2025-04-13 0.041188 0.076373 0.160069 0.442549 2.072230 48.289610 NaN
2025-04-20 0.039660 0.074413 0.158760 0.453676 2.297868 78.988814 NaN
2025-04-27 0.038515 0.073201 0.159268 0.472332 2.622217 155.418734 NaN
2025-05-04 0.037230 0.071540 0.158307 0.484992 2.927583 322.621230 NaN
2025-05-11 0.036132 0.070210 0.158086 0.501053 3.312866 888.891121 NaN
2025-05-18 0.034906 0.068465 0.156428 0.510432 3.659816 3061.174728 NaN